The United States has become increasingly divided in a slow burn and churn of polarizing events, figures, scandals, and disputes. The 90s was a golden era of relative peace for the USA, and we grew fat and happy. After 9/11, due to our complacency and incompetency as a populous, with a glut of goods flowing in rapidly from other countries, the division began. We had to have glorious retribution. The country became selfish, and we reflected the greed onto our elections. Who can promise the biggest tax cuts, who can hurt the people we want to hurt, who can find the easiest scapegoat and attack them the most viciously. There was a brief moment of “hope” in the mid 2000s, that was quickly quashed. Why elect the “left” when you end up in the same wars and taxes either way?
Now, the flip side. Imagine you have just lost the Cold War, and your enemy is a strong country surrounded by vast oceans with two large but non-threatening neighbors and a wealth of resources. The normal war strategy of direct attack and confrontations will result in your demise. Now imagine you have access to a Reality TV show host, a popular one with many seasons, who is greedy, manipulative, and loves power.
Then there’s Covid which conveniently simultaneously sparks material and labor shortages, and triggers tensions between the United States and China. Though the goods keep flowing, it is an uneasy brokerage with tariffs and a leader who inspires anger and mistrust.
Of course, Trump plus Covid is only half of the equation, the tinder to the spark so to speak. The spark being traditional direct war against the proxies of the United States, so as to drain their resources. Ukraine is the obvious choice since it is fertile land that Russia has historically fought over, and that the United States would pour drones and missiles into in defense of European allies. Palestine is the obvious choice because of Israel, a nation backed directly by USA military might. Notice how Russia only had to start one regional war on one front to achieve a world of chaos and drain the treasuries and stockpiles of their enemy?
Of course Russia is suffering heavy losses, but if the goal is to prolong conflict, then Russia would not be sending their best until the timing calls for it. Remember, Russia has to play the long game of strategy here, first by dividing the people after 9/11, then by installing an asset as the leader, taking advantage of a pandemic, and finally starting an unprovoked war with Ukraine. It also serves to make them appear weak, which is important for optics. The United States must, at all times, feel as though it is winning on foreign affairs; reality is inconsequential so long as the feeling is there.
If Trump does decide to pull the trigger and join this war against Iran, then I suspect we will find out reality. Either we are strong or we are weak. Either they are strong, or they are weak. The illusion will be shattered one way or another.
